Al Fayha 2-1 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.13
6+ Goals
7%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 34% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.9pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.19/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.64
-10% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
14.6 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Damac FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
326 Passes 375
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
17.05.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
01.12.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-4 HT 0-2 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
10.02.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
25.08.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
23.05.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
2-1
AWAY Damac FC
2.16 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
338 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha edged past Damac FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Fayha as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Fayha had 53% of the ball to Damac FC's 47%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.16 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Damac FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Fayha and 1.50 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Damac FC?

Al Fayha 2-1 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 43%, draw 31%, Damac FC 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fayha) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Fayha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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