Damac FC 2-2 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.64/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.09
-9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.7 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Fayha
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 1.06
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
412 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
01.12.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-4 HT 0-2 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
10.02.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
25.08.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
23.05.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
20.11.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
2-2
AWAY Al Fayha
1.55 xG 1.30
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
247 Passes 426
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC and Al Fayha couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Damac FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Damac FC had 38% of the ball to Al Fayha's 62%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.55 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Damac FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Damac FC and 0.67 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Fayha?

Damac FC 2-2 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 46%, draw 30%, Al Fayha 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Damac FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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