Al Shabab Riyadh 2-2 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 5 Dec 2024

Al Shabab Riyadh
2-2 HT 0-0
Al Fateh
📅05/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fateh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
72%
-16.9pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.9pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Shabab Riyadh v Al Fateh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +3%
1.75/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.07
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
18.1 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fateh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.29
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
407 Passes 325
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.05.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
15.12.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
31.10.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
03.05.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
26.12.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
20.01.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD

Al Shabab Riyadh 2-2 Al Fateh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
2-2
AWAY Al Fateh
3.89 xG 1.79
62% Ball Possession 38%
30 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
434 Passes 231
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
43 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh and Al Fateh couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Shabab Riyadh at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 62% of the ball to Al Fateh's 38%, shots finished 30-14, expected goals 3.89 to 1.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.50 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fateh?

Al Shabab Riyadh 2-2 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 55%, draw 22%, Al Fateh 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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