Al Wehda 2-3 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
3.57
6+ Goals
13%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 49%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.17/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.39
+10% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
17.8 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.79 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
258 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.05.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
09.12.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
19.01.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD1
08.09.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
2-3
AWAY Al Akhdoud
0.96 xG 2.25
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
464 Passes 212
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Akhdoud nicked a narrow win over Al Wehda 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Akhdoud as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Wehda had 65% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 35%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.96 to 2.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Akhdoud's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Wehda had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Wehda and 0.75 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Wehda 2-3 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 27%, draw 28%, Al Akhdoud 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Akhdoud), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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