Al Akhdoud 1-1 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 25% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.32/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.28
+15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.9 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Wehda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.41 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.12.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
19.01.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD1
08.09.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-1
AWAY Al Wehda
0.95 xG 0.35
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
360 Passes 220
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Akhdoud and Al Wehda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Akhdoud at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 60% of the ball to Al Wehda's 40%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.95 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Wehda led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Akhdoud and 1.67 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Wehda?

Al Akhdoud 1-1 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 48%, draw 25%, Al Wehda 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Akhdoud) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
23 May 2024
21:00 Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr Analysis →
21:00 Al Raed vs Al Ahli Jeddah Analysis →
21:00 Al Ettifaq vs Al Shabab Riyadh Analysis →
21:00 Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Damac FC Analysis →
21:00 Al Fayha vs Al Taawon Analysis →
21:00 Al Fateh vs Al Hazm Analysis →