Al Ettifaq 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.03
Over 2.5
38%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.61
No
59%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
3.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 36% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
45%
+17.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
55%
-17.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.4pp
59%
BTTS No
42%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.29/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.18
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.3 Crosses 18.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.30 xG 1.78
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 Passes 421
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
14.05.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
30.12.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
14.01.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
21.08.2021 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-3 HT 2-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
14.05.2021 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 4-3 HT 1-2 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
1-0
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.58 xG 1.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
241 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq squeezed past Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Al Ettifaq made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 42% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 58%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.58 to 1.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Shabab Riyadh.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ettifaq had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ettifaq and 1.83 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Ettifaq 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 36%, draw 28%, Al Shabab Riyadh 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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