Al Fateh 2-1 Al Hazm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.56
No
56%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.87
2-3 Goals
43%
2.05
4-5 Goals
25%
2.59
6+ Goals
11%
5.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.4pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.7pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.42/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.44
-17% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.9 Crosses 21.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Hazm
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.46 xG 1.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 282
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2023 Al Hazm Al Hazm 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
18.02.2022 Al Hazm Al Hazm 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
25.09.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
24.08.2020 Al Hazm Al Hazm 3-4 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
20.12.2019 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
28.03.2019 Al Hazm Al Hazm 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
2-1
AWAY Al Hazm
2.34 xG 1.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
521 Passes 223
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
46 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Hazm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh squeezed past Al Hazm 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Fateh as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Al Fateh had 68% of the ball to Al Hazm's 32%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.34 to 1.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Fateh's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Fateh and 1.33 for Al Hazm.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Hazm?

Al Fateh 2-1 Al Hazm in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Hazm?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 52%, draw 20%, Al Hazm 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fateh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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