Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.63
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.63
6+ Goals
10%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+9.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
1.79/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.61
-8% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.8 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Damac FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 1.21
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
395 Passes 301
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
04.04.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-0 HT 2-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
11.10.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
03.03.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
17.10.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
15.05.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4-1
AWAY Damac FC
2.94 xG 0.61
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
366 Passes 246
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah ran out comfortable winners over Damac FC 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 58% of the ball to Damac FC's 42%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.94 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 1.17 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Damac FC?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 48%, draw 21%, Damac FC 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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