Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.5pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.75/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.67
+9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.2 Crosses 17.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
386 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
31.10.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
03.05.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
26.12.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
20.01.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
26.08.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
3-2
AWAY Al Fateh
1.68 xG 1.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
358 Passes 348
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh edged past Al Fateh 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 51% of the ball to Al Fateh's 49%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.68 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.50 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fateh?

Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 50%, draw 25%, Al Fateh 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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