Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-9.1pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +19%
2.09/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.41
-14% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.0 Crosses 12.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Fayha
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.66 xG 1.16
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
408 Passes 254
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-4 HT 0-4 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
17.02.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
23.09.2021 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
06.03.2020 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
02.01.2020 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SAKK
05.10.2019 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1-0
AWAY Al Fayha
2.65 xG 0.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
24 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 5
322 Passes 342
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
49 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah edged past Al Fayha 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 49% of the ball to Al Fayha's 51%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.65 to 0.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ahli Jeddah's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 0.50 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fayha?

Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 60%, draw 19%, Al Fayha 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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