Al Nassr 4-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
4.0
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.4pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+16.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-16.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.2pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.89/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.38
+21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +76%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
425 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.0 Crosses 13.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.54 xG 1.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
385 Passes 285
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-5 HT 1-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
09.03.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
26.01.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUSK
02.10.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
11.02.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
18.09.2021 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
4-2
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2.69 xG 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
496 Passes 364
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr saw off Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Al Nassr had 57% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 43%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.69 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Nassr and 2.00 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Nassr 4-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 47%, draw 26%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
27 May 2024
21:00 Al Taawon vs Al Ettifaq Analysis →
21:00 Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fayha Analysis →
21:00 Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fateh Analysis →
21:00 Al Khaleej vs Al Riyadh Analysis →
21:00 Damac FC vs Al Raed Analysis →
21:00 Al Hazm vs Abha Analysis →