Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.8pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.15/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.31
+16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
16.1 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.93 xG 0.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 0
371 Passes 390
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
1-2
AWAY Al Riyadh
2.17 xG 1.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
383 Passes 200
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh nicked a narrow win over Al Khaleej 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Al Riyadh made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 63% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 37%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.17 to 1.67 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Riyadh?

Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 38%, draw 27%, Al Riyadh 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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