Al Hazm 2-1 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 May 2024

Al Hazm
2-1 HT 0-0
Abha
📅27/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.8pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.9pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 43%
-18% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.21/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.70
-28% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
22.5 Crosses 8.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hazm
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Abha
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.53 xG 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
270 Passes 329
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2023 Abha Abha 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
11.02.2022 Abha Abha 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
18.09.2021 Al Hazm Al Hazm 2-0 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
19.08.2020 Abha Abha 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
12.12.2019 Al Hazm Al Hazm 2-3 HT 1-2 Abha Abha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hazm
2-1
AWAY Abha
1.84 xG 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
401 Passes 284
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hazm vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hazm squeezed past Abha 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Al Hazm found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Hazm had 56% of the ball to Abha's 44%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.84 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Al Hazm and 1.20 for Abha.

What was the final score of Al Hazm vs Abha?

Al Hazm 2-1 Abha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hazm vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Abha win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 34%, draw 29%, Abha 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Abha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Abha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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