Livyi Bereh 2-3 Karpaty Lviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.13/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.13
+14% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livyi Bereh
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
02.11.2024 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 3-0 HT 0-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
23.02.2020 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-1 HT 1-1 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
20.09.2019 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 2-0 HT 1-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livyi Bereh
2-3
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
7 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty Lviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv squeezed past Livyi Bereh 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karpaty Lviv as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Livyi Bereh had 63% of the ball to Karpaty Lviv's 37%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Livyi Bereh and 1.33 for Karpaty Lviv.

What was the final score of Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty Lviv?

Livyi Bereh 2-3 Karpaty Lviv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty Lviv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Livyi Bereh 29%, draw 28%, Karpaty Lviv 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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