Karpaty Lviv 3-0 Livyi Bereh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.95/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.03
-36% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karpaty Lviv
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Livyi Bereh
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
23.02.2020 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-1 HT 1-1 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
20.09.2019 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 2-0 HT 1-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Livyi Bereh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv swept aside Livyi Bereh 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karpaty Lviv as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Livyi Bereh led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Karpaty Lviv and 1.50 for Livyi Bereh.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Livyi Bereh?

Karpaty Lviv 3-0 Livyi Bereh in the Ukraine - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Livyi Bereh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 45%, draw 27%, Livyi Bereh 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karpaty Lviv), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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