Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.16
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
19%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.6
No
48%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
82%
-19.5pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.4pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+13.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
34%
+17.2pp
48%
BTTS No
66%
-17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 8%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
2.52/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.03
+23% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
389 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
05.05.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 2-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
01.05.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-4 HT 1-3 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
03.04.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1 HT 2-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKRK
02.04.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-2 HT 2-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
10.09.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
21.08.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-3 HT 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
4 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk edged past Chornomorets Odessa 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 4-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.83 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 62%, draw 19%, Chornomorets Odessa 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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