Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
79%
-17.4pp
17%
Draw
12%
+5.0pp
21%
Away Win
8%
+12.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.35/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.03
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -4%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
628 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
01.05.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-4 HT 1-3 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
03.04.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1 HT 2-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKRK
02.04.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-2 HT 2-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
10.09.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
21.08.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-3 HT 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
02.03.2019 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk ran out comfortable winners over Chornomorets Odessa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.83 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 62%, draw 17%, Chornomorets Odessa 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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