Polessya 1-1 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 43%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.00/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.99
-2% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.10.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-1 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya and Zorya Luhansk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zorya Luhansk at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?

Polessya 1-1 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Polessya 29%, draw 29%, Zorya Luhansk 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zorya Luhansk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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