Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle United v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Newcastle United
İNP
4-1
HT 2-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
İNP
Newcastle United 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle United beat Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Newcastle United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Newcastle United had 32% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 68%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 3.16 to 1.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Newcastle United and 1.50 for Brighton & Hove Albion.
What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Newcastle United 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 38%, draw 26%, Brighton & Hove Albion 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.