Arsenal 3-0 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
13%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 27% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.8
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
17.3
X/1
28%
3.75
X/2
4%
12.55
X/X
10%
5.63
2/1
14%
23.5
2/2
5%
11.0
2/X
5%
19.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
64%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
13%
Away Win
15%
-1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.81/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.79
+7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +8%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
489 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.2 Crosses 18.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fulham
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.25 xG 0.70
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
512 Passes 295
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2025 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
01.04.2025 Arsenal Arsenal 2-1 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
08.12.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
31.12.2023 Fulham Fulham 2-1 HT 1-1 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
26.08.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 2-2 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
12.03.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-3 HT 0-3 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal
3-0
AWAY Fulham
3.23 xG 0.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
453 Passes 359
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal ran out comfortable winners over Fulham 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arsenal had 54% of the ball to Fulham's 46%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 3.23 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arsenal and 1.00 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Arsenal vs Fulham?

Arsenal 3-0 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 65%, draw 22%, Fulham 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
2 May 2026
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