Arsenal vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal v Fulham — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Arsenal
İNP
2-2
HT 0-1
Fulham
İNP
0-3
HT 0-3
Arsenal
İNP
2-1
HT 0-0
Fulham
İNP
1-1
HT 0-0
Fulham
İNP
Arsenal 2-1 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal squeezed past Fulham 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Arsenal had 51% of the ball to Fulham's 49%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.38 to 0.99 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arsenal's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arsenal and 1.17 for Fulham.
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Fulham?
Arsenal 2-1 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Fulham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 54%, draw 22%, Fulham 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.