Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nottingham Forest v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Manchester United
İNP
3-2
HT 1-2
Nottingham Forest
İNP
0-2
HT 0-1
Manchester United
İNP
2-0
HT 0-0
Nottingham Forest
İNLK
Nottingham Forest 1-0 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics
Nottingham Forest nicked a narrow win over Manchester United 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nottingham Forest as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Nottingham Forest had 32% of the ball to Manchester United's 68%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 0.48 to 1.63 — the balance of chances actually favoured Manchester United.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.83 for Manchester United.
What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United?
Nottingham Forest 1-0 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 43%, draw 30%, Manchester United 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.