Fulham 1-1 Arsenal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

Fulham
1-1 HT 1-0
Arsenal
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Fulham vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
46%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.25 — our 27% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.72
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.0
1/X
7%
18.5
X/1
11%
11.5
X/2
20%
4.33
X/X
9%
6.38
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.26
2/X
9%
17.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-11.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.6pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fulham v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal EU Bookmakers 62%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.22/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.98
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +25%
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
200 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 513 · 83%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
19.1 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4

Fulham vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arsenal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.75 xG 2.43
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
284 Passes 545
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.12.2023 Fulham Fulham 2-1 HT 1-1 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
26.08.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 2-2 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
12.03.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-3 HT 0-3 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
27.08.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 2-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
18.04.2021 Arsenal Arsenal 1-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
12.09.2020 Fulham Fulham 0-3 HT 0-1 Arsenal Arsenal İNP

Fulham 1-1 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
1-1
AWAY Arsenal
0.16 xG 2.03
34% Ball Possession 66%
2 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
218 Passes 522
72% Pass Accuracy 89%
3 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Arsenal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham and Arsenal shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Fulham had 34% of the ball to Arsenal's 66%, shots finished 2-12, expected goals 0.16 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fulham and 2.00 for Arsenal.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Arsenal?

Fulham 1-1 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Arsenal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fulham 28%, draw 26%, Arsenal 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
8 Dec 2024
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