Tottenham 3-4 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.33
No
37%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.28
2-3 Goals
39%
2.24
4-5 Goals
28%
2.47
6+ Goals
15%
4.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.82
1/2
8%
21.2
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
15%
6.96
X/2
8%
5.76
X/X
10%
6.43
2/1
10%
24.7
2/2
23%
2.94
2/X
8%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
71%
-8.6pp
37%
BTTS No
29%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.47/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.34
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
18.5 Crosses 15.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chelsea
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.93 xG 1.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
322 Passes 484
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
06.11.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 1-4 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
26.02.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
14.08.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-2 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
23.01.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
12.01.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 0-1 HT 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
3-4
AWAY Chelsea
2.90 xG 2.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
263 Passes 446
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 48
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Chelsea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea edged past Tottenham 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Chelsea made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Tottenham had 39% of the ball to Chelsea's 61%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 2.90 to 2.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tottenham and 1.83 for Chelsea.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Chelsea?

Tottenham 3-4 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Chelsea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 37%, draw 23%, Chelsea 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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