Ipswich Town 1-2 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.67
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 28% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.03
1/2
11%
25.5
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
8%
8.76
X/2
16%
5.05
X/X
10%
6.01
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.78
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 53%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.70/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.12
-21% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
18.1 Crosses 17.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
0W-4D-0L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
176 Passes 347
57% Pass Accuracy 74%
03.04.2015 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNCL
22.11.2014 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-2 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
21.04.2014 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNCL
29.12.2013 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
1-2
AWAY Bournemouth
1.32 xG 3.28
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 13
250 Passes 357
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 41
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth squeezed past Ipswich Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bournemouth as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 43% of the ball to Bournemouth's 57%, shots finished 18-22, expected goals 1.32 to 3.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bournemouth's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.50 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth?

Ipswich Town 1-2 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 29%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
8 Dec 2024
17:00 Leicester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Analysis →
17:00 Fulham vs Arsenal Analysis →
19:30 Tottenham vs Chelsea Analysis →