Real Aviles 2-2 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 31% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.01/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.70
-27% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
1W-0D-0L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 22
9 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 12
5 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2025 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 3-4 HT 0-2 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
2-2
AWAY CD Guadalajara
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles and CD Guadalajara shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Aviles at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Aviles had 49% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 51%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs CD Guadalajara?

Real Aviles 2-2 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 49%, draw 26%, CD Guadalajara 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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