CD Guadalajara 3-4 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.65
2-3 Goals
47%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.99
6+ Goals
8%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.64/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/2.79
+12% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -55%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
3-4
AWAY Real Aviles
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 9
12 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles squeezed past CD Guadalajara 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CD Guadalajara at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 64% of the ball to Real Aviles's 36%, shots finished 22-11.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Real Aviles?

CD Guadalajara 3-4 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 51%, draw 27%, Real Aviles 22%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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