Pontevedra 2-1 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.82
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.39/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.33
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Talavera CF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.05.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 4-2 HT 2-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
11.09.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-0 HT 1-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
04.01.2020 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-2 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
2-1
AWAY Talavera CF
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra nicked a narrow win over Talavera CF 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pontevedra had 51% of the ball to Talavera CF's 49%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Talavera CF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pontevedra and 2.00 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Talavera CF?

Pontevedra 2-1 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 46%, draw 25%, Talavera CF 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
5 Oct 2025
13:00 Merida AD vs Arenas de Getxo Analysis →
13:00 Antequera vs Sabadell Analysis →
17:00 Arenteiro vs Barakaldo Analysis →
17:00 Teruel vs Hercules Analysis →
19:15 CD Guadalajara vs Real Aviles Analysis →
19:15 Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II Analysis →