Merida AD 3-0 Arenas de Getxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Oct 2025

Merida AD
3-0 HT 3-0
Arenas de Getxo
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Merida AD vs Arenas de Getxo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Merida AD v Arenas de Getxo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.56
+26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Merida AD 3-0 Arenas de Getxo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
3-0
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Arenas de Getxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD ran out comfortable winners over Arenas de Getxo 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Merida AD as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Merida AD had 55% of the ball to Arenas de Getxo's 45%, shots finished 18-5.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Arenas de Getxo?

Merida AD 3-0 Arenas de Getxo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Arenas de Getxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 52%, draw 25%, Arenas de Getxo 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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