Arenteiro 1-1 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.56
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.20/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.10
-6% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenteiro
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Barakaldo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
19.02.2025 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
05.10.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 2-0 HT 1-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
POST-MATCH Arenteiro vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenteiro and Barakaldo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arenteiro at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barakaldo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arenteiro and 1.50 for Barakaldo.

What was the final score of Arenteiro vs Barakaldo?

Arenteiro 1-1 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenteiro vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenteiro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arenteiro 45%, draw 25%, Barakaldo 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arenteiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arenteiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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