Arenteiro 1-1 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
5.0
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.35/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.89
+6% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
172 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 124 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenteiro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Barakaldo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
05.10.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 2-0 HT 1-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenteiro
1-1
AWAY Barakaldo
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arenteiro vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenteiro and Barakaldo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Arenteiro at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Arenteiro had 49% of the ball to Barakaldo's 51%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Arenteiro vs Barakaldo?

Arenteiro 1-1 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenteiro vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenteiro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arenteiro 41%, draw 27%, Barakaldo 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arenteiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arenteiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →