Barakaldo 2-0 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.39
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 26%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.94/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.22
-37% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
2-0
AWAY Arenteiro
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo saw off Arenteiro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barakaldo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Barakaldo had 47% of the ball to Arenteiro's 53%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Arenteiro?

Barakaldo 2-0 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 42%, draw 28%, Arenteiro 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barakaldo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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