Sevilla II 1-0 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.55
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.63
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.18/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.39
+76% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Madrid II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
8 Yellow Cards 4
02.04.2022 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-1 HT 2-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
11.12.2021 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla II
1-0
AWAY Real Madrid II
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sevilla II vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla II nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and on the day Sevilla II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sevilla II had 58% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 42%, shots finished 13-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sevilla II and 1.50 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of Sevilla II vs Real Madrid II?

Sevilla II 1-0 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla II vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sevilla II 40%, draw 27%, Real Madrid II 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla II), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla II) ✓ Under 2.5
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