Cultural Leonesa 2-1 Tarazona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.48
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarazona EU Bookmakers 16%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.51/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.18
-12% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +42%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
344 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Tarazona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2024 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-1 HT 1-0 Tarazona Tarazona İS3
09.09.2023 Tarazona Tarazona 0-0 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Tarazona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa nicked a narrow win over Tarazona 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cultural Leonesa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 0.50 for Tarazona.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Tarazona?

Cultural Leonesa 2-1 Tarazona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Tarazona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 52%, draw 26%, Tarazona 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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