Eibar II 3-2 Naxara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxara EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.16/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.18
-19% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naxara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.10.2025 Naxara Naxara 1-1 HT 1-0 Eibar II Eibar II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar II
3-2
AWAY Naxara
61% Ball Possession 39%
29 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eibar II vs Naxara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar II squeezed past Naxara 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eibar II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Eibar II had 61% of the ball to Naxara's 39%, shots finished 29-11.

What was the final score of Eibar II vs Naxara?

Eibar II 3-2 Naxara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar II vs Naxara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Eibar II 46%, draw 26%, Naxara 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eibar II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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