05/10/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Naxara vs Eibar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
33%
Draw
29%
38%
Away Win
39%
52%
Under 2.5
58%
48%
Over 2.5
42%
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
42%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naxara v Eibar II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naxara
EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY
Eibar II
EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+27% /
+27%
1.15/1.18
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.35/0.50
+11%
/
-8%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+103%
/
+93%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
291 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
339 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
21.0
Crosses
–
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.4
POST-MATCH
Naxara vs Eibar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Naxara and Eibar II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Naxara vs Eibar II?
Naxara 1-1 Eibar II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naxara vs Eibar II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Eibar II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naxara 29%, draw 33%, Eibar II 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eibar II) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Eibar II)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
5 Oct 2025