Naxara 1-1 Eibar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.9
No
42%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.4pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.9pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxara EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar II EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.15/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/0.50
+11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / +93%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH Naxara vs Eibar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxara and Eibar II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Naxara vs Eibar II?

Naxara 1-1 Eibar II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxara vs Eibar II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eibar II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naxara 29%, draw 33%, Eibar II 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eibar II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eibar II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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