Amorebieta vs Basconia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amorebieta v Basconia — Team-Based Signals
Amorebieta 2-1 Basconia — Actual Match Statistics
Amorebieta nicked a narrow win over Basconia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Amorebieta as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Amorebieta had 39% of the ball to Basconia's 61%, shots finished 10-12.
What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Basconia?
Amorebieta 2-1 Basconia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Basconia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 48%, draw 28%, Basconia 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amorebieta), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.