Valencia II 3-3 Castellon II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Castellon II EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+12% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia II
3-3
AWAY Castellon II
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valencia II vs Castellon II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia II and Castellon II shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Valencia II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Valencia II had 54% of the ball to Castellon II's 46%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Valencia II vs Castellon II?

Valencia II 3-3 Castellon II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia II vs Castellon II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Valencia II 49%, draw 20%, Castellon II 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valencia II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valencia II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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