Wolfsburg (K) 3-2 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.5pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.7pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.64/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.24
+10% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / -32%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
26.9 Crosses 11.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
2.29 xG 0.59
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
441 Passes 246
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
08.03.2025 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
04.10.2024 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 5-0 HT 1-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
11.03.2024 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
3-2
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
1.69 xG 0.91
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
425 Passes 262
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
44 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) squeezed past RB Leipzig (K) 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 60% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 40%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.69 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Wolfsburg (K) and 0.25 for RB Leipzig (K).

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 3-2 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 59%, draw 23%, RB Leipzig (K) 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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