West Adelaide 3-3 NE MetroStars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
65%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
15%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
-0.2pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.8pp
65%
Away Win
61%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Adelaide EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 66%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
2.45/2.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.75
+105% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Adelaide
1W-0D-3L
AWAY NE MetroStars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.06.2023 West Adelaide 2-3 HT 2-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
25.03.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-0 HT 1-0 West Adelaide AVNPL
06.04.2015 West Adelaide 1-0 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
02.08.2014 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-1 HT 2-1 West Adelaide AVNPL
POST-MATCH West Adelaide vs NE MetroStars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Adelaide and NE MetroStars couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had NE MetroStars at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for West Adelaide and 1.75 for NE MetroStars.

What was the final score of West Adelaide vs NE MetroStars?

West Adelaide 3-3 NE MetroStars in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Adelaide vs NE MetroStars?

Before kick-off our model rated an NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split West Adelaide 18%, draw 17%, NE MetroStars 65%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NE MetroStars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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