Hume City 2-1 Heidelberg United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.65/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.05
+14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 12.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Heidelberg United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2025 Hume City Hume City 0-1 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
14.03.2025 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 5-1 HT 1-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
26.07.2024 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-1 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
27.04.2024 Hume City Hume City 2-2 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
26.05.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-0 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
24.02.2023 Hume City Hume City 1-1 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Heidelberg United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City squeezed past Heidelberg United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Heidelberg United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidelberg United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hume City and 1.83 for Heidelberg United.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Heidelberg United?

Hume City 2-1 Heidelberg United in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Heidelberg United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hume City 26%, draw 28%, Heidelberg United 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heidelberg United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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