Kingborough Lions 2-1 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.33
No
38%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
71%
-9.2pp
38%
BTTS No
29%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 42%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
0.58/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.69/0.77
-65% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +89%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Launceston City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
23.08.2025 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
28.06.2025 Launceston City Launceston City 2-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
26.04.2025 Launceston City Launceston City 3-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
17.08.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-2 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
22.06.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 1-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
13.04.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingborough Lions edged past Launceston City 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; Kingborough Lions found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Launceston City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kingborough Lions and 1.67 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?

Kingborough Lions 2-1 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kingborough Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 40%, draw 21%, Launceston City 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kingborough Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kingborough Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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