Kingborough Lions 1-1 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.13
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
63%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.38
No
32%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
43%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
20%
-4.4pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
63%
Away Win
61%
+2.2pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
-0.5pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 66%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.65/2.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.53
+35% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -60%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Launceston City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
28.06.2025 Launceston City Launceston City 2-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
26.04.2025 Launceston City Launceston City 3-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
17.08.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-2 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
22.06.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 1-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
13.04.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
19.08.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingborough Lions and Launceston City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Launceston City carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (68%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kingborough Lions and 1.50 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?

Kingborough Lions 1-1 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Launceston City win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 16%, draw 21%, Launceston City 63%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Launceston City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Launceston City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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