Launceston City 3-1 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.3pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 25%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.19/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/2.41
-5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-2 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
22.06.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 1-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
13.04.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
19.08.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
24.06.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
15.04.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 4-3 HT 3-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston City beat Kingborough Lions 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Launceston City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kingborough Lions led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Launceston City and 2.17 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions?

Launceston City 3-1 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Launceston City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Launceston City 50%, draw 23%, Kingborough Lions 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Launceston City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Launceston City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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