Kingborough Lions 2-1 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
4.0
Over 2.5
72%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
75%
-11.4pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.0pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+5.5pp
28%
Under 2.5
22%
+7.0pp
72%
Over 2.5
78%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.1pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +26%
4.06/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.26
+60% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
466 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Launceston City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
24.06.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
15.04.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 4-3 HT 3-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
03.09.2022 Launceston City Launceston City 0-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
09.07.2022 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-2 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
30.04.2022 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 4-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingborough Lions edged past Launceston City 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kingborough Lions as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kingborough Lions had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kingborough Lions and 1.17 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?

Kingborough Lions 2-1 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kingborough Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 64%, draw 20%, Launceston City 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kingborough Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kingborough Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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