South Hobart 1-1 Glenorchy Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 45%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.05/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.16
-33% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Glenorchy Knights
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-1 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
25.06.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 4-3 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
14.04.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-0 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
13.08.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 5-3 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
18.06.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 3-0 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
02.04.2022 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-1 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart and Glenorchy Knights couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for South Hobart and 1.50 for Glenorchy Knights.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights?

South Hobart 1-1 Glenorchy Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 39%, draw 26%, Glenorchy Knights 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (South Hobart), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South Hobart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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