New Lambton FC 0-1 Edgeworth Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.74
Over 2.5
65%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-7.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
33%
+2.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
67%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Edgeworth Eagles EU Bookmakers 69%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.50/2.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.14
-52% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Lambton FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Edgeworth Eagles
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2023 Edgeworth Eagles Edgeworth Eagles 1-0 HT 1-0 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNSW
08.04.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Edgeworth Eagles Edgeworth Eagles AVNPL
POST-MATCH New Lambton FC vs Edgeworth Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edgeworth Eagles edged past New Lambton FC 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Edgeworth Eagles as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Edgeworth Eagles led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for New Lambton FC and 2.00 for Edgeworth Eagles.

What was the final score of New Lambton FC vs Edgeworth Eagles?

New Lambton FC 0-1 Edgeworth Eagles in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Lambton FC vs Edgeworth Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Edgeworth Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split New Lambton FC 20%, draw 23%, Edgeworth Eagles 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Edgeworth Eagles) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Edgeworth Eagles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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