Clarence Zebras 6-1 Launceston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
4.0
Over 2.5
61%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
16%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-11.5pp
17%
Draw
13%
+3.4pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
22%
+17.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
78%
-17.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.8pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston United EU Bookmakers 14%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.53/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/4.77
+38% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clarence Zebras
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Launceston United
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Launceston United Launceston United 1-2 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
15.04.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 6-1 Launceston United Launceston United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Clarence Zebras vs Launceston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clarence Zebras swept aside Launceston United 6-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Clarence Zebras as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Clarence Zebras had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Clarence Zebras and 1.00 for Launceston United.

What was the final score of Clarence Zebras vs Launceston United?

Clarence Zebras 6-1 Launceston United in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clarence Zebras vs Launceston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clarence Zebras win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Clarence Zebras 64%, draw 17%, Launceston United 19%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Clarence Zebras), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Clarence Zebras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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