Launceston City 1-3 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.38
No
38%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.5pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.8pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 56%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.71/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.62/1.96
+98% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +136% / -32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
19.08.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
24.06.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
15.04.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 4-3 HT 3-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
03.09.2022 Launceston City Launceston City 0-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
09.07.2022 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-2 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingborough Lions beat Launceston City 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kingborough Lions as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kingborough Lions led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Launceston City and 2.17 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions?

Launceston City 1-3 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kingborough Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Launceston City 24%, draw 31%, Kingborough Lions 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kingborough Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kingborough Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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