Adamstown Rosebuds 2-7 Maitland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
64%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.68
Over 2.5
65%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
18%
-3.2pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
64%
Away Win
64%
+0.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.5pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Maitland EU Bookmakers 69%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.46/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.91
+19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Maitland
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Maitland Maitland 1-1 HT 0-1 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
13.08.2023 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 1-0 HT 0-0 Maitland Maitland AVNSW
13.05.2023 Maitland Maitland 5-0 HT 2-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNSW
18.06.2022 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 3-5 HT 1-1 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
05.04.2022 Maitland Maitland 6-0 HT 3-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNSW
15.05.2021 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-4 HT 0-2 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adamstown Rosebuds vs Maitland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maitland ran out comfortable winners over Adamstown Rosebuds 7-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maitland as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maitland led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Adamstown Rosebuds and 3.50 for Maitland.

What was the final score of Adamstown Rosebuds vs Maitland?

Adamstown Rosebuds 2-7 Maitland in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adamstown Rosebuds vs Maitland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maitland win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Adamstown Rosebuds 15%, draw 21%, Maitland 64%. The final score 2-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maitland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maitland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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